/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
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Santiago Pierotti
77'
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Pietro Pellegri
33'
-
Liberato Cacace
45'+1'
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Pietro Pellegri
52'
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Liam Henderson
84'
Lecce vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Froberto-daversa.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Lecce
38.68%
▲
(+0.42)
Draw
27.89%
▲
(+0.37)
Empoli
33.42%
▼
(-0.78)
Both Teams to Score:
47.88%
▼
(-1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.96%
▼
(-1.48)
Under 2.5
58.04%
▲
(+1.48)
Over 3.5
21.28%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 3.5
78.72%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 4.5
9.08%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 4.5
90.92%
▲
(+0.71)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
70.87%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 0.5
29.13%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 1.5
34.94%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
65.05%
▲
(+0.59)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
67.56%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 0.5
32.44%
▲
(+1.27)
Over 1.5
31.04%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 1.5
68.96%
▲
(+1.46)
Score analysis
Lecce
38.68%
Draw
27.89%
Empoli
33.42%
Lecce
1-0
@
11.65%
▲
(+0.50)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.68%
2-1 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.68%
Draw
1-1
@
13.12%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.52)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.52)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
Empoli
0-1
@
10.63%
▲
(+0.23)
1-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.42%
1-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.42%