Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Empoli

Pierotti (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellegri (33')
Cacace (45+1'), Pellegri (52'), Henderson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Empoli
38.68% ( 0.41)	27.89% ( 0.37)	33.42% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 47.88% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

-1.47)

58.04% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

-1.17)

78.72% (

1.17)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.47)

29.13% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

-0.59)

65.05% (

0.59)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

-1.27)

32.44% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.04% (

-1.45)

68.96% (

1.45)

Score Analysis

Lecce 38.68%

Empoli 33.42%

Draw 27.89%

Lecce	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 38.68%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.42%