Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 2, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 0
Lecce

Orsolini (85')
Urbanski (66'), Ndoye (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pelmard (71'), Gaspar (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Lecce
61.63% ( -0.33)	22.94% ( 0.39)	15.43% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 43.54% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8% (

-1.56)

54.2% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-1.32)

75.6% (

1.32)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

-0.67)

17.19% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54% (

-1.18)

47.45% (

1.18)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.58% (

-1.04)

47.42% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.2% (

-0.78)

82.8% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Bologna 61.63%

Lecce 15.43%

Draw 22.93%

Bologna	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.63%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.93%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.43%