Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Lecce |
61.63% ( -0.33) | 22.94% ( 0.39) | 15.43% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 43.54% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.8% ( -1.56) | 54.2% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.39% ( -1.32) | 75.6% ( 1.32) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% ( -0.67) | 17.19% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.54% ( -1.18) | 47.45% ( 1.18) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.58% ( -1.04) | 47.42% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.2% ( -0.78) | 82.8% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.63% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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