Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 30, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Empoli

Morata (19'), Reijnders (44', 69')
Fonseca (25'), Gabbia (25'), Musah (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Colombo (35'), Henderson (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Udinese
Monday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
66.95% ( 0.55)	19.61% ( -0.13)	13.43% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33% (

-0.38)

44.66% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97% (

-0.37)

67.02% (

0.37)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

0.04)

12.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.71% (

0.09)

38.28% (

-0.09)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.5% (

-0.88)

44.5% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.47% (

-0.72)

80.53% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 66.94%

Empoli 13.44%

Draw 19.61%

AC Milan	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 66.94%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.61%	0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.44%