Serie A Gameweek 14
AC Milan
Nov 30, 2024 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli
  • Alvaro Morata 19' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 25' yellowcard
  • Matteo Gabbia 25' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 44' goal
  • Yunus Musah 57' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 69' goal
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Colombo 35'
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 67'

AC Milan vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Nov 23, 2024 5.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2024 5.30pm
Empoli 1 - 1 Udinese
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Sebastiano Esposito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 66.95% ▲ (+0.56)
Draw 19.61% ▼ (-0.14)
Empoli 13.43% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.62% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.33% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 2.5 44.66% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 3.5 32.97% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 67.02% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 4.5 16.77% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 83.22% ▲ (+0.27)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 87.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 12.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 61.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 38.28% ▼ (-0.10)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 55.5% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 0.5 44.5% ▲ (+0.89)
Over 1.5 19.47% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 1.5 80.53% ▲ (+0.72)

Score analysis

AC Milan 66.94%
Draw 19.61%
Empoli 13.44%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 12.02% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 11.51% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 66.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.61%
Empoli
0-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.44%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 28
AC Milan
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli
  • Tijjani Reijnders 26' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 40' goal
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 24'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Pezzella 53'
  • yellowcard Szymon Zurkowski 65'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cancellieri 80'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Empoli
Jan 7, 2024 11.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
AC Milan
  • Razvan Marin 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 11'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 31'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 54'
  • goal Chaka Traore 88'
Serie A Gameweek 29
AC Milan
Apr 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli
Serie A Gameweek 8
Empoli
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
AC Milan
  • Nedim Bajrami 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ante Rebic 79'
  • goal Fode Ballo-Toure 90'+3'
  • goal Rafael Leao 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 29
AC Milan
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Empoli
  • Pierre Kalulu 19' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 90'+4' yellowcard
Serie A Gameweek 19
Empoli
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Nedim Bajrami 18' goal
  • Simone Romagnoli 62' yellowcard
  • Andrea Pinamonti 84' goal
  • goal Franck Kessie 12'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 39'
  • goal Franck Kessie 42'
  • goal Alessandro Florenzi 63'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 69'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 80'

Form Data

Slovan Bratislava 2 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus
Cagliari 3 - 3 AC Milan
Real Madrid 1 - 3 AC Milan
Monza 0 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 2 Napoli
Empoli 1 - 1 Udinese
Lecce 1 - 1 Empoli
Empoli 1 - 0 Como
Empoli 0 - 3 Inter Milan
Parma 1 - 1 Empoli
Empoli 0 - 1 Napoli