Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 0Empoli
We said: AC Milan 2-0 Empoli
While they are often vulnerable on the road, Milan tend to keep things tight at San Siro, where they will put an end Empoli's unbeaten run. Paulo Fonseca's rotation policy may be contributing some uneven performances, but the Rossoneri should still have too much firepower for their Tuscan counterparts to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
66.95% ( 0.55) | 19.61% ( -0.13) | 13.43% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
