Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lukaku (5'), Kvaratskhelia (43')
Olivera (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Brugge
Tuesday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 26 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
42.27% ( -0.17)	24.22% ( 0.06)	33.51% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 59.95% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.45% (

-0.24)

42.55% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05% (

-0.24)

64.95% (

0.25)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

-0.18)

20.3% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

-0.29)

52.67% (

0.29)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22% (

-0.05)

24.78% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.65% (

-0.07)

59.35% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 42.27%

Napoli 33.51%

Draw 24.22%

AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.27%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.51%