/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
-
Nadir Zortea
2'
-
Gabriele Zappa
53'
-
Gabriele Zappa
90'
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Rafael Leao
15'
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Rafael Leao
40'
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Youssouf Fofana
61'
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Tammy Abraham
69'
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Theo Hernandez
90'+1'
Cagliari vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Frafael-leao.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result
Cagliari
31.79%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
25.14%
▼
(-0.01)
AC Milan
43.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
56.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
47.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
30.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
69.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
14.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
85.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
71.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
28.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
36.16%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
63.84%
▲
(+0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
78.04%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
21.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
44.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
55.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Cagliari
31.79%
Draw
25.13%
AC Milan
43.06%
Cagliari
1-0
@
7.84%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.79%
2-1 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.79%
Draw
1-1
@
11.87%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
AC Milan
0-1
@
9.37%
1-2 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.06%
1-2 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.06%