Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 9, 2024 at 5pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
3 - 3
AC Milan

Zortea (2'), Zappa (53', 90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Leao (15', 40'), Abraham (69')
Fofana (61'), Hernandez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
31.79% ( -0.02)	25.14% ( -0.01)	43.06% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

0.01)

47.34% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

0.01)

69.56% (

-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

-0.01)

28.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16% (

-0.01)

63.84% (

0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

0.02)

21.96% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

0.03)

55.25% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 31.79%

AC Milan 43.06%

Draw 25.13%

Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.79%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.06%