Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.