Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 1
AC Milan

Mota (7')
Djuric (53'), Bondo (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Reijnders (43')
Morata (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Monza
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Monza	Draw	AC Milan
35.14% ( 1.06)	25.85% ( 0.14)	39.01% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

-0.45)

49.6% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.41)

71.63% (

0.41)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

0.42)

27.17% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

0.55)

62.57% (

-0.55)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

-0.83)

24.98% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

-1.17)

59.63% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Monza 35.14%

AC Milan 39.01%

Draw 25.84%

Monza	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.14%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.01%