Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.