Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.