Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Pafos FC
60.58% ( 0.18)	21.21% ( -0.07)	18.21% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

0.1)

42.55% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.04% (

0.1)

64.95% (

-0.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39% (

0.08)

13.6% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.25% (

0.17)

40.74% (

-0.18)

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.02% (

-0.08)

36.98% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.23% (

-0.07)

73.76% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 60.56%

Pafos FC 18.21%

Draw 21.21%

Fiorentina	Draw	Pafos FC
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 60.56%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.21%	0-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.21%