Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 35.67% ( | 28.41% ( | 35.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.24% ( | 59.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.94% ( | 80.05% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( | 31.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% ( | 68.27% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( | 31.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( | 68.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.37% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.91% |