Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
| 46.42% ( | 26.51% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( | 55.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( | 76.41% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( | 23.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( | 57.88% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( | 35.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% ( | 72.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.42% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.07% |