Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 50.39% ( | 26.32% ( | 23.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.89% ( | 57.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( | 77.98% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( | 22.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.92% ( | 40.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( | 76.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 13.5% ( 2-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.39% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.28% |