Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Lazio |
| 23.78% ( | 24.76% ( | 51.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% ( | 50.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% ( | 72.68% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( | 36.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( | 72.87% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( | 19.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( | 51.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 2-1 @ 6% ( 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 3-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.78% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0-2 @ 9.38% ( 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0-3 @ 5.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.45% |