Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Monza
56.76% ( 0.38)	25.04% ( -0.07)	18.21% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 43.09% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.28% (

-0.14)

57.72% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.53% (

-0.11)

78.47% (

0.11)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67% (

0.09)

20.33% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.28% (

0.15)

52.72% (

-0.15)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.09% (

-0.46)

45.91% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.35% (

-0.36)

81.65% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Bologna 56.75%

Monza 18.21%

Draw 25.03%

Bologna	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.75%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.54% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 18.21%