We said: Bologna 1-0 Venezia
Both in the bottom half of the rankings for attacking output, these low-scoring sides may ultimately be separated by a single goal.
Given Venezia's frailties at the back, Bologna should end November on a high, securing three welcome points in front of their fans.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
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