Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Venezia |
| 56.67% ( | 23.73% ( | 19.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% ( | 51.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( | 73.05% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% | 17.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( | 48.67% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.5% ( | 40.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% ( | 77.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.6% |