Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.