Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 9, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
1 - 2
Parma

Nicolussi (5')
Andersen (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Valeri (17'), Bonny (68')
Cancellieri (50'), Charpentier (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Parma
44.25% ( -0.13)	24.95% ( 0.03)	30.8% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.12% (

-0.08)

46.88% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

-0.08)

69.13% (

0.07)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

-0.09)

21.22% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.88% (

-0.14)

54.12% (

0.14)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

0.02)

28.58% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63% (

0.03)

64.37% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Venezia 44.25%

Parma 30.8%

Draw 24.95%

Venezia	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.8%