Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 11.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Danilo Cataldi 24' goal
  • Pietro Comuzzo 30' yellowcard
  • Dodo 58' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 35'
  • yellowcard Davide Nicola 83'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 88'

Fiorentina vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Nov 24, 2024 2.00pm
Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2024 7.45pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 68.5% (+0.13)
Draw 18.46% (-0.05)
Cagliari 13.03% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.37% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.58% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.42% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.2% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.8% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.94% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.06% (-0.03)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 89.23% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 10.77% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 65.24% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 34.76% (-0.10)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 57.57% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 42.43% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 21.19% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.81% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 68.5%
Draw 18.46%
Cagliari 13.03%
Fiorentina
2-0 @ 11.34% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.43% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.23% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.7% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.09% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 68.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.46%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.03%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 38
May 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Deiola 64' goal
  • Kingstone Mutandwa 85' goal
  • Yerry Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 39'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 71'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 89'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 89'
  • goal Arthur 90'+13'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • Alberto Dossena 21' goal
  • Gino Infantino 86' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giorgio Altare 10' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 47' goal
  • Walter Mazzarri 60' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 81' yellowcard
  • Luca Ceppitelli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 29'
  • redcard Alvaro Odriozola 65'
  • goal Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 89'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2021 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Cristiano Biraghi 21' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 42' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 49' goal
  • yellowcard Keita Balde 20'
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 48'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 27'
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 67'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dusan Vlahovic 72' goal
  • Cristiano Biraghi 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 53'
  • yellowcard Matteo Tramoni 86'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 90'+1'