Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 2
Cagliari

Frendrup (12'), Miretti (59')
Caricol (79'), Bani (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marin (8' pen.), Piccoli (88' pen.)
Marin (66'), Viola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Como
Thursday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 3-3 AC Milan
Saturday, November 9 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
39.07% ( -0.5)	27.63% ( 0.11)	33.29% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89% (

-0.36)

57.1% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.02% (

-0.28)

77.98% (

0.28)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

-0.45)

28.45% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

-0.57)

64.21% (

0.57)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

0.08)

32.05% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

0.09)

68.52% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Genoa 39.07%

Cagliari 33.29%

Draw 27.63%

Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.07%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.29%