Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 29, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Falcao (36'), Neto (90+8')
Falcao (30'), Jorge (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gustavo (49'), Samu (90')
Rivas (31'), Mendes (64'), Cesar (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Farense
Saturday, December 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Nacional
Monday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
14.56% ( -0.06)	21.12% ( -0.13)	64.31% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 46.77% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.27% (

0.38)

48.72% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.17% (

0.34)

70.83% (

-0.34)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.66% (

0.13)

45.33% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.8% (

0.11)

81.19% (

-0.11)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

0.18)

14.44% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.61% (

0.35)

42.38% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 14.56%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 64.3%

Draw 21.12%

SC Farense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.56%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.12%	0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 12.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 64.3%