Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 2
Farense

Aranda (80' pen., 80' pen.)
Dias (14'), Dias (14'), Pastor (83'), Pastor (83'), Sa (88'), Sa (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Matias (30', 30'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (47', 47')
Neto (7'), Neto (7'), Africo (34'), Africo (34'), Balde (52'), Balde (52'), Poveda (64'), Poveda (64'), Aranda (82'), Aranda (82'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (85'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-3 Famalicao
Monday, December 16 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, December 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	SC Farense
49.11% ( 0.02)	26.77% ( 0.56)	24.12% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 45.91% (

-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.97% (

-2.44)

58.03% (

2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29% (

-1.96)

78.71% (

1.96)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

-1.04)

23.73% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.14% (

-1.52)

57.86% (

1.52)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.19% (

-1.89)

39.81% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.52% (

-1.79)

76.48% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 49.1%

SC Farense 24.12%

Draw 26.77%

Famalicao	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.1%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.38% Total : 24.12%