Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.