Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 16, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 3
Famalicao

Fernandez (62'), Oliveira (77'), Horta (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El Ouazzani (45+3' og.), Sa (56'), Dias (70')
Calegari (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Braga
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Porto
Saturday, December 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Famalicao
46.83% ( 0.36)	25.26% ( -0.04)	27.91% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3% (

0.01)

49.7% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29% (

71.71% (

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

0.16)

21.24% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

0.25)

54.14% (

-0.24)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

-0.23)

32.08% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.45% (

-0.27)

68.55% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Braga 46.82%

Famalicao 27.91%

Draw 25.26%

Braga	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.91%