Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
-0.6) 
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