Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 2
Atalanta

Dybala (53'), El Shaarawy (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Roon (69'), Zaniolo (89')
Hien (78'), Kolasinac (88'), Zaniolo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Roma
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Young Boys 1-6 Atalanta
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
28.47% ( -1.24)	25.08% ( -0.34)	46.44% ( 1.58)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37% (

0.77)

48.62% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.26% (

0.7)

70.74% (

-0.7)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

-0.5)

31.1% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

-0.59)

67.43% (

0.59)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

1.03)

20.97% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

1.58)

53.72% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Roma 28.47%

Atalanta BC 46.44%

Draw 25.07%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.47%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.44%