Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Young Boys win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.