Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 3
Atalanta

Cancellieri (49')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Retegui (4'), Ederson (39'), Lookman (75')
Piero Gasperini (54'), Ruggeri (88'), de Roon (90+3')
Piero Gasperini (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 1-2 Parma
Saturday, November 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Udinese
Sunday, November 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Atalanta BC
27.14% ( 1.33)	24.55% ( -0.24)	48.3% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 55.18% (

1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.79% (

47.21% (

-2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.56% (

1.83)

69.44% (

-1.83)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

2.12)

31.37% (

-2.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.27% (

2.38)

67.73% (

-2.38)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

0.35)

19.6% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45% (

0.56)

51.55% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Parma 27.14%

Atalanta BC 48.3%

Draw 24.55%

Parma	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.14%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.74) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.3%