Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 3
Atalanta

Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Monza
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
52.79% ( 0.83)	23.49% ( -0.29)	23.72% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 55.27% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.5% (

0.75)

45.5% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

0.71)

67.83% (

-0.71)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

0.59)

17.21% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

1.02)

47.49% (

-1.03)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

-0.05)

33.24% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14% (

-0.06)

69.85% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Napoli 52.78%

Atalanta BC 23.72%

Draw 23.48%

Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.78%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.72%