Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.