Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 24, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 0
Roma

Lukaku (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Dicka (38'), Pisilli (60'), Cristante (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Roma
51.35% ( -0.2)	25% ( 0.01)	23.65% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.15% (

0.13)

51.85% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

0.11)

73.6% (

-0.11)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

-0.03)

20.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

-0.05)

52.49% (

0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

0.24)

36.8% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.41% (

0.24)

73.58% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Napoli 51.34%

Roma 23.65%

Draw 25%

Napoli	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 51.34%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.65%