Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 48.8% | 24.22% ( | 26.98% |
| Both teams to score 56.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% | 45.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% | 68.19% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% | 18.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% | 50.35% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% | 30.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.8% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.98% |