Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.