Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 1
Lecce

Saelemaekers (13'), Mancini (59'), Pisilli (66'), Kone (86')
Saelemaekers (12'), Kone (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Krstovic (40' pen.)
Krstovic (69'), Kaba (72'), Oudin (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 0-2 Atalanta
Monday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Lecce
53.29% ( -0.07)	25.43% ( 0.03)	21.28% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 46.41% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

-0.07)

55.72% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

-0.05)

76.86% (

0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.06)

20.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-0.09)

53.68% (

0.08)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71% (

0.01)

41.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

77.82% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Roma 53.27%

Lecce 21.28%

Draw 25.42%

Roma	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.27%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.28%