Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2025 at 2pm UK
Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino
Vitoria de Guimaraes

O Elvas
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Lucas Vieira da Silva (50'), Nketia (75')
Nketia (37'), Tomas Santos Cotao (42'), Oliveira Baio (90+18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ndembo-Michel (2')
Silva (57'), Borevkovic (90+14'), Oliveira Baio (90+18'), Oliveira Baio (90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Taca de Portugal clash between O Elvas and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

O Elvas

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Last Game: Varzim 1-2 O Elvas
Sunday, November 24 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
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Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-4 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, January 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 76.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for O Elvas had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.52%) and 0-3 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a O Elvas win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
O ElvasDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
7.31% (-0.0441 -0.04)16.6% (-0.023 -0.02)76.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 36% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (-0.061 -0.06)48.96% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-0.055 -0.05)71.05% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
O Elvas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.5% (-0.156 -0.16)59.5% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.61% (-0.081900000000001 -0.08)90.39% (0.083999999999989 0.08)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.88% (0.00099999999999056 0)11.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.53%
Score Analysis
    O Elvas 7.31%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 76.06%
    Draw 16.6%
O ElvasDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 3.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 1.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 7.31%
1-1 @ 7.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 16.6%
0-2 @ 15.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 14.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 11.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.42% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-6 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 76.06%