Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 24, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Varzim Sport Club

Varzim
1 - 2
O Elvas

Vitor Rodrigues Araujo (29')
Lourenco (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nketia (56'), Cardoso (71')
Enoh (61'), Lucas Vieira da Silva (76'), Almara (90'), Victor Lopes de Oliveira Ribeiro (90+1'), Dias (90+5')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Varzim and O Elvas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varzim

Last Game: Varzim 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, October 20 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

O Elvas

Last Game: O Elvas 3-2 Torreense
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varzim win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for O Elvas had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varzim win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a O Elvas win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Varzim	Draw	O Elvas
55.79% ( 0.02)	25.06% ( 0.31)	19.14% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 44.46% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.29% (

-1.48)

56.71% (

1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33% (

-1.2)

77.66% (

1.2)

Varzim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68% (

-0.58)

20.32% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.3% (

-0.92)

52.7% (

0.92)

O Elvas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79% (

-1.24)

44.2% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.71% (

-1.03)

80.29% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Varzim 55.78%

O Elvas 19.14%

Draw 25.06%

Varzim	Draw	O Elvas
1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.78%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.14%