Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Guimaraes
Jan 18, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • Dieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel 20' goal
  • Nuno Santos 40' goal
  • Kaio Cesar 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 56'
  • goal Chico Faria Camara Lamba 72'
  • yellowcard Weverson 80'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 85'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 90'+1'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2025 8.15pm
Guimaraes 4 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gustavo

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 8.30pm
Boavista 1 - 3 Arouca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alfonso Trezza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.16% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 24.04% ▼ (-0.53)
Arouca 26.8% ▲ (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.6% ▲ (+2.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.8% ▲ (+2.56)
Under 2.5 45.2% ▼ (-2.56)
Over 3.5 32.45% ▲ (+2.41)
Under 3.5 67.55% ▼ (-2.41)
Over 4.5 16.4% ▲ (+1.70)
Under 4.5 83.6% ▼ (-1.70)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 81.53% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 0.5 18.48% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 1.5 50.33% ▲ (+1.76)
Under 1.5 49.68% ▼ (-1.75)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 69.43% ▲ (+1.65)
Under 0.5 30.57% ▼ (-1.65)
Over 1.5 33.2% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 1.5 66.8% ▼ (-1.91)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.16%
Draw 24.03%
Arouca 26.8%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.74)
2-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.26)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 49.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.28)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.65)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.03%
Arouca
1-2 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.11)
0-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.44)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 26.8%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Arouca
Aug 12, 2024 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Weverson 22' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 43' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 47' yellowcard
  • David Simao 62' yellowcard
  • Henrique Araujo 75' yellowcard
  • Jason 76' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 81' redcard
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 14'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 48'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Arouca
May 18, 2024 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Cristo 39' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Simao 64' yellowcard
  • Toni Borevkovic 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 33'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 45'+3'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 50'
  • goal Thiago 53' (OG)
  • goal Manu Silva 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 72'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Lawal 82'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • Alvaro Pacheco 32' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 45' goal
  • Andre Silva 64' goal
  • goal Jason 8'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 31'
  • yellowcard Jason 40'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
Mar 11, 2023 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • goal Rafa Mujica 50'
  • goal Antony 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Arouca
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Andre Bukia 33' goal
  • Mateus Quaresma 70' goal
  • goal Anderson Silva 57'
  • goal Ruben Lameiras 90'+12'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT
Arouca
  • Oscar Estupinan 26' goal
  • Nelson Luz 67' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Quaresma 80' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Janvier 86' yellowcard
  • Jorge Fernandes 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Basso 13'
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 27'
  • goal Antony 35'
  • goal Andre Bukia 41'
  • yellowcard Nino Galovic 48'
  • yellowcard David Simao 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Silva 89'

Form Data

O Elvas 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 4 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Farense 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 2 - 2 Nacional
Guimaraes 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Rio Ave 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Boavista 1 - 3 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 1 Gil Vicente
Casa Pia 3 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora 2 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 0 - 2 Benfica