Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 1
Gil Vicente

Yalcin (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gbane (64')
Caue (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Arouca
Friday, December 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, December 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Gil Vicente
31.46% ( 0.05)	27.57% ( 0.09)	40.97% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 48.32% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75% (

-0.3)

57.25% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9% (

-0.24)

78.1% (

0.24)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61% (

-0.12)

33.39% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98% (

-0.13)

70.02% (

0.13)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

-0.22)

27.46% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

-0.28)

62.95% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Arouca 31.46%

Gil Vicente 40.96%

Draw 27.56%

Arouca	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.46%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.96%