Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Arouca
Dec 27, 2024 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Gil Vicente
  • Guven Yalcin 81' goal
  • goal Mory Gbane 64'
  • yellowcard Caue 82'

Arouca vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2024 8.15pm
Casa Pia 3 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alfonso Trezza

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 8.30pm
Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Felix Correia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Arouca 31.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 27.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Gil Vicente 40.97% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.32% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.75% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 57.25% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 21.9% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 78.1% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 9.45% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 90.55% ▲ (+0.15)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 66.61% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 33.39% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 29.98% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 70.02% ▲ (+0.14)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 72.54% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 27.46% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 37.05% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 62.95% ▲ (+0.28)

Score analysis

Arouca 31.46%
Draw 27.56%
Gil Vicente 40.96%
Arouca
1-0 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.56%
Gil Vicente
0-1 @ 11.85% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.96%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Gil Vicente
Apr 26, 2024 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca
  • Maxime Dominguez 34' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 63' yellowcard
  • Tidjany Toure 90'+4' goal
  • Jonathan Buatu Mananga 90'+5' goal
  • Jonathan Buatu Mananga 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bogdan Milovanov 35'
  • goal Cristo 47'
  • goal Cristo 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Arouca
Dec 16, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Gil Vicente
  • Rafa Mujica 38' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mujica 45'+1' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 61' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 78' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 85' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Gil Vicente
Feb 5, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca
  • Vitor Carvalho 37' goal
  • goal Oday Dabbagh 30'
Taca de Portugal
Gil Vicente
Nov 8, 2022 6.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca
  • Vitor Carvalho 17' goal
  • goal Rafa Mujica 6'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 38'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 58'
  • goal Jose Manuel Velazquez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Arouca
Aug 15, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Gil Vicente
  • Rafa Mujica 1' goal
  • Ismaila Soro 44' yellowcard
  • Alan Ruiz 52' yellowcard
  • Ignacio De Arruabarrena 73' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Cunha 38'
  • yellowcard Carraca 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Arouca
Apr 2, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Gil Vicente
  • Andre Bukia 14' yellowcard
  • Mateus Quaresma 34' yellowcard
  • David Simao 45' redcard
  • Andre Silva 55' goal
  • Andre Silva 59' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Cunha 82'
  • yellowcard Bilel Aouacheria 84'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Aburjania 89'
  • redcard Giorgi Aburjania 90'
  • goal Lucas Cunha 90'+2'

Form Data

Casa Pia 3 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora 2 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 0 - 2 Benfica
Arouca 1 - 2 Farense
Famalicao 0 - 0 Arouca
Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Farense 0 - 1 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Nacional
Guimaraes 4 - 0 Gil Vicente
Vila Real 0 - 2 Gil Vicente
Moreirense 3 - 2 Gil Vicente