Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 15, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Jason (67')
Fontan (63'), Jason (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Calila (66'), Ferreira (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Arouca
Monday, December 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Santa Clara
29.82% ( 0.72)	27.11% ( 0.31)	43.06% ( -1.03)

Both teams to score 48.99% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.92% (

-0.87)

56.08% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.85% (

-0.71)

77.15% (

0.72)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

0.08)

33.98% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34% (

0.09)

70.66% (

-0.08)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-0.92)

25.8% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-1.26)

60.75% (

1.26)

Score Analysis

Arouca 29.83%

Santa Clara 43.06%

Draw 27.11%

Arouca	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.83%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.06%