Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Arouca

Livolant (19'), Lelo (20'), Obeng (88')
Cassiano (61'), Mukendi (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Trezza (63')
Sylla (18'), Weverson (58'), Simao (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Arouca
35.54% ( -0)	27.66% ( -0)	36.79%

Both teams to score 48.82% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.02%

56.98% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.12%

77.88% (

-0)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.48% (

-0)

30.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.26%

66.73% (

-0)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-0)

29.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2%

65.8% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 35.54%

Arouca 36.79%

Draw 27.66%

Casa Pia	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.54%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.79%