/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Farolog.png)
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Jeremy Livolant
19'
-
Leonardo Lelo
20'
-
Cassiano
61'
-
Samuel Obeng
88'
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Beni Mukendi
90'+1'
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Morlaye Sylla
18'
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Weverson
58'
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Alfonso Trezza
63'
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David Simao
75'
Casa Pia vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fcassiano.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
35.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
27.66%
▼
(-0.01)
Arouca
36.79%
Both Teams to Score:
48.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.02%
Under 2.5
56.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
22.12%
Under 3.5
77.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
9.58%
Under 4.5
90.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
69.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
30.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
33.26%
Under 1.5
66.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
70.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
29.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
34.2%
Under 1.5
65.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
35.54%
Draw
27.66%
Arouca
36.79%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
10.77%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.54%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.54%
Draw
1-1
@
13.06%
0-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
Arouca
0-1
@
11%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 36.79%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 36.79%