Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 4, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
1 - 3
Arouca

Agra (71')
Perez (8'), Bacci (9'), Agra (50'), Injai Gomes (55'), Onyemaechi (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jason (45+7' pen.), Yalcin (90+5' pen., 90+8')
Simao (40'), Weverson (48'), Gozalbez (70'), Fontan (74'), Santos (82'), Mantl (90+12'), Yalcin (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 4-0 Boavista
Saturday, December 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Gil Vicente
Friday, December 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Arouca
30.51% ( 0.34)	27.55% ( 0.26)	41.93% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 48.01% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.53% (

-0.85)

57.47% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.73% (

-0.68)

78.27% (

0.68)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-0.2)

34.2% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

-0.21)

70.9% (

0.22)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.71)

27.03% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

-0.94)

62.39% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Boavista 30.51%

Arouca 41.93%

Draw 27.54%

Boavista	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.51%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.93%