Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 88.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 3.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.49%) and 4-0 (10.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.06%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.