Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
4 - 0
Boavista

Omorodion (31', 88'), Gonzalez (55'), Mora Carvalho (59')
Fernandes (41'), Perez (41'), Gonzalez (45+2'), Otavio (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reisinho (29'), Abascal (81')

Reaction

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Jan 1, 09:26

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 0-3 Porto
Saturday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 AVS
Saturday, December 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 88.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 3.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.49%) and 4-0 (10.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.06%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Boavista
88.33% ( -0.13)	8.59% ( 0.11)	3.08% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 35.74% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.37% (

-0.48)

30.63% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.06% (

-0.58)

51.95% (

0.58)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.55% (

-0.1)

4.45% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.69% (

-0.32)

18.31% (

0.32)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.41% (

-0.24)

62.6% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.08% (

-0.11)

91.92% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Porto 88.31%

Boavista 3.08%

Draw 8.59%

Porto	Draw	Boavista
3-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.9% Total : 88.31%	1-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 8.59%	0-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 3.08%