Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 3
Porto

Ramos (45'), Franco (77'), Tavares (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Omorodion (16'), Mora Carvalho (66'), Franco (88')
Galeno (25'), Perez (51'), Madson (72'), Jaime (72'), Tavares (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Monday, December 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.23%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Porto
11% ( -0.19)	18.39% ( -0)	70.6% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 45.1% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.69% (

-0.48)

45.31% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.35% (

-0.46)

67.65% (

0.46)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.01% (

-0.65)

48.99% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.05% (

-0.47)

83.94% (

0.47)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.41% (

-0.08)

11.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.45% (

-0.18)

36.55% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 11.01%

Porto 70.6%

Draw 18.39%

Moreirense	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 11.01%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.39%	0-2 @ 13.18% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 9.47% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.6%