Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 3
Estoril

Lopes (36'), Silva (63')
Safira (38'), Pereira (58')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Carvalho (2', 68'), Begraoui (30')
Zanocelo (89'), Xeka (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Farense
Sunday, January 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Estoril
Sunday, January 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Estoril Praia
52.99% ( -0.2)	25.65% ( 0.23)	21.36% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.91% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.56% (

-0.86)

56.44% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55% (

-0.7)

77.44% (

0.69)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

-0.43)

21.35% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.68% (

-0.67)

54.32% (

0.67)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37% (

-0.52)

41.63% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.89% (

-0.46)

78.11% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 52.98%

Estoril Praia 21.36%

Draw 25.64%

Santa Clara	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.98%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.36%