Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 34.93% ( | 29.34% ( | 35.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.01% ( | 62.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.54% ( | 82.46% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( | 34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( | 70.68% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( | 33.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( | 70.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 13.43% ( 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.72% |