Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.