Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
0 - 2
Braga

Soares (22'), Pereira (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruma (51', 77' pen.)
Oliveira (33'), Niakate (65'), Moutinho (83'), Ribeiro (84'), Bambu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Santa Clara
Wednesday, December 18 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-3 Famalicao
Monday, December 16 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Braga
27.5% ( -0.11)	26.66% ( 0.1)	45.84% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

-0.44)

55.47% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

-0.36)

76.65% (

0.36)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54% (

-0.32)

35.46% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.34)

72.23% (

0.34)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

-0.19)

24.14% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55% (

-0.27)

58.45% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 27.5%

Braga 45.84%

Draw 26.65%

Santa Clara	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.5%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.84%