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Nuno Santos
17'
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Samu
55'
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Telmo Arcanjo
78'
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Rafael Vela Rodrigues
41'
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Gustavo Assuncao
44'
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Guillermo Ochoa
45'
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Gustavo Assuncao
47'
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Jaume Grau
50'
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
AVS Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 11.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 61.26%
0-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.82%