Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AVS had a probability of 26.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.