Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 6, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Correia (38')
Kazu (85'), Elimbi (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aguilera (59')
Clayton (19'), Petrasso (33'), Aguilera (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Gil Vicente
Friday, December 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, December 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Rio Ave
49.45% ( 0.08)	26.48% ( 0.24)	24.07% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.96% (

-1.13)

57.03% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.07% (

-0.92)

77.92% (

0.91)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86% (

-0.45)

23.14% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99% (

-0.66)

57.01% (

0.65)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

-0.94)

39.3% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

-0.89)

76% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 49.45%

Rio Ave 24.07%

Draw 26.48%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.45%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.07%