Rio Ave vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.