Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
21.67% (![]() | 24.72% (![]() | 53.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% (![]() | 52.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% (![]() | 74.32% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% (![]() | 39.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.13% (![]() | 75.87% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.4% (![]() | 19.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.45% (![]() | 51.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 7.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.67% | 1-1 @ 11.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 12.5% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.19% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 18 | 31 | 47 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
15 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |