Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 19, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
3 - 1
Porto

Pablo (11'), Sa (53'), Correia (90+4' pen.)
Carlos (25'), Caseres (27'), Correia (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Borges (48')
Vieira (24'), Gonzalez (43'), Mario (55'), Loader (60'), Eustaquio (87'), Borges (90+11')
Omorodion (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Porto
Sunday, January 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Porto
21.67% ( -0.19)	24.72% ( 0.06)	53.61% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 48.91% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32% (

-0.41)

52.68% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68% (

-0.36)

74.32% (

0.36)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

-0.42)

39.16% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13% (

-0.4)

75.87% (

0.4)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

-0.11)

19.6% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45% (

-0.18)

51.55% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 21.67%

Porto 53.6%

Draw 24.71%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.67%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.19% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.6%