Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 12, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
2 - 0
Porto

Dudu (17'), Vitor (44')
Garcia (45+6'), Eustaquio (55'), Gomes (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mora Carvalho (5'), Mora Carvalho (5'), Soumare (56'), Otavio (78'), Vieira (82'), Borges (83'), Perez (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, December 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Porto
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Porto
12.27% ( -0.03)	18.52% ( -0.03)	69.21% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4% (

0.04)

42.6% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99% (

0.04)

65.01% (

-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.95% (

-0.02)

45.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.03% (

-0.02)

80.97% (

0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

0.02)

11.19% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.3% (

0.06)

35.7% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Nacional 12.27%

Porto 69.21%

Draw 18.52%

Nacional	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.27%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 18.52%	0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-5 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 69.21%