Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 4, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 1
AVS

Alan (9' pen.)
Pinto (45+1'), Gabrielzinho (78'), de Brito Gonzaga (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grau (45')
Rodriguez Elduayen (7'), Roux (56'), Teixeira (79'), Nene (85'), Silva (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
Saturday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	AVS
29.79% ( -0.06)	26.56% ( 0.04)	43.65% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.01% (

-0.17)

53.98% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.57% (

-0.14)

75.43% (

0.14)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.09% (

-0.13)

32.91% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.51% (

-0.15)

69.49% (

0.15)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44% (

-0.06)

24.56% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.96% (

-0.09)

59.04% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 29.79%

AVS 43.64%

Draw 26.55%

Moreirense	Draw	AVS
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.79%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.64%