/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Bruno Costa
20'
-
Dudu
34'
-
Djibril Soumare
45'+6'
-
Djibril Soumare
70'
-
Ze Vitor
86'
-
Baptiste Roux
19'
-
Rodrigo Ribeiro
45'+3'
-
Lucas Piazon
76'
-
Gustavo Assuncao
79'
-
Yair Mena Palacios
90'+3'
Nacional vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result
Nacional
33.12%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
26.26%
▼
(-0.04)
AVS
40.63%
▲
(+0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
52.86%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.3%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
51.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
26.52%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
73.47%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
12.34%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
87.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
70.55%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
29.44%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
34.55%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
65.45%
▲
(+0.07)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5
74.92%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
25.08%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
40.24%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
59.76%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Nacional
33.12%
Draw
26.25%
AVS
40.62%
Nacional
1-0
@
9.03%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 33.12%
2-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 33.12%
Draw
1-1
@
12.48%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.25%
AVS
0-1
@
10.21%
1-2 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.62%
1-2 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.62%